AAL

American Airlines Group Inc.

Industrials · $8.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$12.94

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$12.38

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$4.95

buy price

Fairly Valued

AAL is Fairly Valued: at $12.94 it's within 5% of its fair value of $12.38. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $4.95, 62% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-11.8% a year✗
Equity per share growth-14.6% a year✗
Sales growth5.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-0.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital3.7%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold AAL. In Q2 2026, 2 opened a position and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: David Tepper, Harry Burn

Sold out: Viking Global Investors

About American Airlines Group Inc.

American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid…

Airlines, Airports & Air Services

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

AAL stock (American Airlines Group Inc.): fair value $12.38, Fairly Valued — PaybackPrice