AFG

American Financial Group, Inc.

Financial Services · $11.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$139.10

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$249.10

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$99.64

buy price

Undervalued

AFG is Undervalued: at $139.10 it trades 44% below its fair value of $249.10. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $99.64, 28% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Justified P/B (Financials). A bank or insurer. These are best valued on their book value and how much they earn on it.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth5.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.6% a year✗
Sales growth3.6% a year✗
Free cash flow growth5.0% a year✗
Return on invested capital5.8%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 23, 2026: no open-market purchases and 6 sales worth $15.4M. Why purchases matter

Sales

About American Financial Group, Inc.

American Financial Group, Inc. (AFG) operates as an insurance holding company, specializing in providing a broad array of property and casualty insurance solutions across the United States. Its comprehensive product portfolio encompasses various lines of business, including property and transportation coverage, which offers protection for physical damage and liability concerning vehicles like buses and trucks, along…

Insurance - Property & Casualty

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works