AJG

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Financial Services · $58.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$226.11

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$105.06

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$42.03

buy price

Overpriced

AJG is Overpriced: at $226.11 it trades 115% above its fair value of $105.06. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $42.03, 81% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth16.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth12.8% a year✓
Sales growth12.9% a year✓
Free cash flow growth17.6% a year✓
Return on invested capital5.8%✗

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Superinvestors

6 of the investors we track hold AJG. In Q2 2026, 2 opened a position, 2 added and 1 sold out. Who we track

Insider activity

Since Jun 22, 2026: no open-market purchases, 3 sales worth $7.3M and 15 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Arthur J. Gallagher & Co.

Arthur J. Gallagher & Co., alongside its various subsidiaries, operates globally, providing a wide array of services that encompass insurance brokerage, expert consulting, and outsourced claims settlement and administration. Its geographic reach extends across the United States, Australia, Bermuda, Canada, the Caribbean, New Zealand, India, and the United Kingdom. The company's business model is divided into two…

Insurance - Brokers

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works