AMAT

Applied Materials, Inc.

Technology · $386.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$540.04

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$179.90

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$71.96

buy price

Overpriced

AMAT is Overpriced: at $540.04 it trades 200% above its fair value of $179.90. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $71.96, 87% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Earnings Power. Our 10-year earnings projection came out at less than a fifth of the share price, too far from reality to publish. So we use a simpler measure: today's normal earnings at the price-to-earnings ratio it has typically traded at.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth12.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth8.1% a year✗
Sales growth8.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth8.8% a year✗
Return on invested capital25.5%✓

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Superinvestors

11 of the investors we track hold AMAT. In Q2 2026, 2 opened a position and 5 trimmed. Who we track

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases, 29 sales worth $146.6M and 5 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

BRUNER JUDY

director · 2026-09-08

Sold

$465K

Hill Brice

SVP, CFO · 2026-08-25

Sold

$3.6M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-30

Sold

$22K

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-30

Sold

$14.7M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-29

Sold

$5.6M

Show all 29 sales

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-29

Sold

$35.2M

Raja Prabu G.

President, Semi. Products Grp. · 2026-06-18

Sold

$6.3M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$502K

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$1.5M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.7M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$8.1M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$3.5M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.7M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.8M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$6.2M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$5.4M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$9.3M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.2M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.4M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$669K

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.8M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$1.4M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.8M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-16

Sold

$2.1M

Iannotti Thomas J

director · 2026-06-16

Sold

$5.5M

Deane Timothy M

SVP, Applied Global Services · 2026-06-15

Sold

$5.1M

DICKERSON GARY E

President and CEO · 2026-06-15

Sold

$6.7M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-15

Sold

$2.3M

Nalamasu Omkaram

Senior Vice President, CTO · 2026-06-15

Sold

$4.1M

Other filings

About Applied Materials, Inc.

Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes…

Semiconductors

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works