AMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $2.67T market cap

Verdict

Share price

$251.52

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$168.17

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$67.27

buy price

Overpriced

AMZN is Overpriced: at $251.52 it trades 50% above its fair value of $168.17. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $67.27, 73% below today's price. Business quality is strong: all 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

5 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth34.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth35.3% a year✓
Sales growth22.6% a year✓
Free cash flow growth21.9% a year✓
Return on invested capital10.7%✓

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Superinvestors

32 of the investors we track hold AMZN. In Q2 2026, 7 added and 9 trimmed. Who we track

Dodge & Cox Funds

Dodge & Cox Funds · as of Q2 2026

$4.0B

16,708,513 shares

Bill Ackman

Pershing Square Capital Management · as of Q1 2026

$2.4B

11,451,981 shares

Chase Coleman

Tiger Global Management · as of Q2 2026

$2.3B

9,683,558 shares

AltaRock Partners

AltaRock Partners · as of Q2 2026

$1.4B

5,729,972 shares

David Tepper

Appaloosa Management · as of Q2 2026

$1.2B

5,000,000 shares

Show all 32 holders

Bill Nygren

Oakmark Funds · as of Q2 2026

$1.1B

4,653,406 shares

Seth Klarman

Baupost Group LLC · as of Q2 2026

$892.3M

3,743,854 shares

Viking Global Investors

Viking Global Investors · as of Q2 2026

$882.1M

3,700,862 shares

John Armitage

Egerton Capital · as of Q2 2026

$851.7M

3,573,408 shares

ValueAct Capital

ValueAct Capital · as of Q2 2026

$701.1M

2,941,700 shares

Polen Capital Management

Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$669.7M

2,809,953 shares

Mairs & Power Funds

Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026

$619.6M

2,599,441 shares

Thomas Gayner

Markel Group · as of Q2 2026

$484.0M

2,030,760 shares

Lee Ainslie

Maverick Capital · as of Q2 2026

$481.7M

2,020,894 shares

Daniel Loeb

Third Point · as of Q2 2026

$417.1M

1,750,000 shares

First Pacific Advisors

First Pacific Advisors · as of Q2 2026

$324.3M

1,360,585 shares

AKO Capital

AKO Capital · as of Q2 2026

$272.1M

1,141,835 shares

Jensen Investment Management

Jensen Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$251.2M

1,054,136 shares

Vulcan Value Partners

Vulcan Value Partners · as of Q2 2026

$236.6M

992,758 shares

Samantha McLemore

Patient Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$162.3M

681,047 shares

Triple Frond Partners

Triple Frond Partners · as of Q2 2026

$103.1M

432,420 shares

Harry Burn

Sound Shore · as of Q2 2026

$83.5M

350,136 shares

Josh Tarasoff

Greenlea Lane Capital · as of Q2 2026

$66.8M

280,350 shares

Wallace Weitz

Weitz Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$51.8M

217,500 shares

Steven Check

Check Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$49.1M

206,057 shares

Dennis Hong

ShawSpring Partners · as of Q2 2026

$37.4M

157,020 shares

David Rolfe

Wedgewood Partners · as of Q2 2026

$32.3M

135,440 shares

David Katz

Matrix Asset Advisors · as of Q2 2026

$31.9M

133,816 shares

Torray Funds

Torray Funds · as of Q2 2026

$16.2M

68,062 shares

Glenn Greenberg

Brave Warrior Advisors · as of Q2 2026

$632K

2,650 shares

Thomas Russo

Gardner Russo & Quinn · as of Q2 2026

$223K

936 shares

Leon Cooperman

Leon Cooperman · as of Q4 2018

$11K

7,500 shares

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases, 27 sales worth $365.0M and 20 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-09-01

Sold

$255K

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-24

Sold

$2.4M

Reynolds Shelley

Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$231K

Reynolds Shelley

Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$202K

Reynolds Shelley

Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$174K

Show all 27 sales

Olsavsky Brian T

Senior Vice President and CFO · 2026-08-21

Sold

$1.6M

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$291K

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$554K

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$461K

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Sold

$293K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Sold

$628K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Sold

$549K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Sold

$470K

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Sold

$508K

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Sold

$1.4M

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Sold

$1.3M

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Sold

$556K

Jassy Andrew R

President and CEO · 2026-08-21

Sold

$472K

Jassy Andrew R

President and CEO · 2026-08-21

Sold

$2.0M

Jassy Andrew R

President and CEO · 2026-08-21

Sold

$1.9M

Jassy Andrew R

President and CEO · 2026-08-21

Sold

$824K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-17

Sold

$106K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-17

Sold

$499K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-17

Sold

$378K

BEZOS JEFFREY P

Executive Chair · 2026-08-03

Sold

$346.5M

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-03

Sold

$278K

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-07-01

Sold

$240K

Other filings

Mandia Kevin R.

director · 2026-09-08

Award

4,086 shares

SMITH BRAD D

director · 2026-09-08

Award

4,086 shares

BEZOS JEFFREY P

Executive Chair · 2026-08-26

G-Gift

230,637 shares

BEZOS JEFFREY P

Executive Chair · 2026-08-25

G-Gift

184,943 shares

Reynolds Shelley

Vice President · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

1,800 shares

Show all 20 other filings

Reynolds Shelley

Vice President · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

543 shares

Olsavsky Brian T

Senior Vice President and CFO · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

9,900 shares

Olsavsky Brian T

Senior Vice President and CFO · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

5,530 shares

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

9,900 shares

Zapolsky David

Senior Vice President · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

5,530 shares

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

7,500 shares

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

2,840 shares

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

5,565 shares

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

4,860 shares

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

4,000 shares

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

1,480 shares

Garman Matthew S

CEO Amazon Web Services · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

7,836 shares

Jassy Andrew R

President and CEO · 2026-08-21

Option exercise

50,000 shares

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-15

Option exercise

9,352 shares

Herrington Douglas J

CEO Worldwide Amazon Stores · 2026-08-06

G-Gift

22,000 shares

About Amazon.com, Inc.

Amazon.com, Inc. operates a vast global retail enterprise, distributing consumer goods and subscription services through both its extensive online platforms and a network of physical stores across North America and internationally. Its operations are structured into three primary segments: North America, International, and Amazon Web Services (AWS). The company's product offerings encompass both merchandise and…

Specialty Retail

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works