BURL

Burlington Stores, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $16.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$275.34

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$216.22

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$86.49

buy price

Overpriced

BURL is Overpriced: at $275.34 it trades 27% above its fair value of $216.22. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $86.49, 69% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth12.9% a year✓
Equity per share growth27.8% a year✓
Sales growth8.0% a year✗
Free cash flow growth7.5% a year✗
Return on invested capital7.3%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 11, 2026: no open-market purchases, 30 sales worth $12.3M and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$31K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$116K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$49K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$35K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$30K

Show all 30 sales

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$42K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$79K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-09-01

Sold

$54K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-08-03

Sold

$60K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-08-03

Sold

$55K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-08-03

Sold

$54K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-08-03

Sold

$312K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-08-03

Sold

$139K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$16K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$67K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$165K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$140K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$88K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$28K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-07-01

Sold

$26K

Wolfe Kristin

Chief Financial Officer · 2026-06-17

Sold

$1.1M

Wolfe Kristin

Chief Financial Officer · 2026-06-17

Sold

$701K

Wolfe Kristin

Chief Financial Officer · 2026-06-17

Sold

$994K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-06-12

Sold

$79K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-06-12

Sold

$2.0M

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-06-12

Sold

$3.7M

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-06-12

Sold

$933K

Vecchio Jennifer

Group President and CMO · 2026-06-12

Sold

$447K

Ferroni Stephen

SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-06-11

Sold

$442K

Ferroni Stephen

SVP, Chief Accounting Officer · 2026-06-11

Sold

$348K

Other filings

About Burlington Stores, Inc.

Burlington Stores, Inc. operates as a prominent retail chain across the United States, offering a diverse selection of branded apparel and other consumer products. Its merchandise is heavily focused on current fashion trends, providing items such as women's ready-to-wear, men's clothing, youth apparel, footwear, accessories, and outerwear. Additionally, the company stocks toys, gifts, and various products for the…

Apparel - Retail

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works