CMG
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · $40.9B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$32.36
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$26.84
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$10.73
buy price
CMG is Overpriced: at $32.36 it trades 21% above its fair value of $26.84. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $10.73, 67% below today's price. Business quality is strong: all 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 11% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
5 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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None of the investors we track holds CMG right now. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track
Moves in Q1 2026
Sold out: Daniel Loeb
Insider activity
Since Aug 7, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $96K and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Other filings
Schalow Laurie
Chief Corp Affairs Officer · 2026-08-22
Tax withholding
$708K
Boatwright Scott
Chief Executive Officer · 2026-08-22
Tax withholding
$1.1M
Garner Curtis E
Pres, Chief Strgy & Tech Off · 2026-08-22
Tax withholding
$973K
Eskenazi Ilene
Chief Legal and HR Officer · 2026-08-22
Tax withholding
$695K
Rymer Adam T
Chief Financial Officer · 2026-08-22
Tax withholding
$327K
Show all 7 other filingsShow fewer
Machado Fernando
Chief Brand Officer · 2026-08-07
Award
76,243 shares
Machado Fernando
Chief Brand Officer · 2026-08-07
Award
$7.7M
About Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc., along with its affiliated companies, oversees the ownership and daily running of Chipotle Mexican Grill eateries. By February 15, 2022, its global presence included roughly 3,000 restaurant locations spread across the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, and other parts of Europe. The company was established in 1993 and maintains its principal office in Newport…
Restaurants
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works