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CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Industrials · $817M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$33.76

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.86

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.74

buy price

Overpriced

CVLG is Overpriced: at $33.76 it trades 54% above its fair value of $21.86. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.74, 74% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth15.0% a year✓
Equity per share growth10.0% a year✓
Sales growth3.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth14.2% a year✓
Return on invested capital3.4%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold CVLG. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 added. Who we track

First Eagle Investment Management

First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$15.9M

358,932 shares

Polen Capital Management

Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$1.4M

31,943 shares

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Polen Capital Management

Added: First Eagle Investment Management

About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides transportation and logistics services in the United States. It operates through four segments: Expedited, Dedicated, Managed Freight, and Warehousing. The Expedited segment primarily provides truckload services with high service freight and delivery standards, such as 1,000 miles in 22 hours or 15-minute delivery windows. The Dedicated segment…

Trucking

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works