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EC

Ecopetrol S.A.

Energy · $34.0B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$16.60

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$12.43

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$4.97

buy price

Overpriced

EC is Overpriced: at $16.60 it trades 34% above its fair value of $12.43. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $4.97, 70% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow Growth. Free cash flow is growing faster than reported earnings, so we project free cash flow 10 years ahead instead.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth3.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth5.0% a year✗
Sales growth9.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth6.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital8.8%✗

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About Ecopetrol S.A.

Ecopetrol SA engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. It operates through the following segments: Exploration and Production, Transportation and Logistics, and Refining and Petrochemicals. The Exploration and Production segment deals with oil and gas exploration and production activities. The Transportation and Logistics segment comprises of pipelines and other…

Oil & Gas Integrated

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works