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EPM

Evolution Petroleum Corporation

Energy · $132M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$3.58

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$3.98

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.59

buy price

Fairly Valued

EPM is Fairly Valued: at $3.58 it's within 10% of its fair value of $3.98. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.59, 56% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -12% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth6.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.3% a year✗
Sales growth14.1% a year✓
Free cash flow growth15.8% a year✓
Return on invested capital2.1%✗

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Insider activity

Since Sep 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

Loyd Kelly William

PRESIDENT & CEO · 2026-09-01

Tax withholding

$45K

Bunch John Mark

COO · 2026-09-01

Tax withholding

$25K

Stash Ryan

SVP & CFO · 2026-09-01

Tax withholding

$23K

Beatty Kelly

CHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER · 2026-09-01

Tax withholding

$11K

About Evolution Petroleum Corporation

Evolution Petroleum Corporation, an energy company, engages in the development, production, ownership, exploitation, and investment of onshore oil and gas properties in the United States. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works