GFL

GFL Environmental Inc.

Industrials · $14.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$41.98

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.68

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.67

buy price

Overpriced

GFL is Overpriced: at $41.98 it trades 94% above its fair value of $21.68. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.67, 79% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth—?
Equity per share growth5.5% a year✗
Sales growth25.4% a year✓
Free cash flow growth15.1% a year✓
Return on invested capital1.1%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds GFL. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Lee Ainslie

About GFL Environmental Inc.

GFL Environmental Inc. functions as a multifaceted environmental services provider with operations spanning Canada and the United States. The company's core offerings encompass three distinct areas: managing non-hazardous solid waste, undertaking infrastructure and soil cleanup projects, and handling various types of liquid waste. Within its solid waste division, GFL handles every stage from collecting and…

Waste Management

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works