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GFR

Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Energy · $409M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$5.80

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.37

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.55

buy price

On Sale

GFR is On Sale: at $5.80 it trades 32% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $8.55 and 73% below its fair value of $21.37. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-29.4% a year✗
Equity per share growth7.2% a year✗
Sales growth5.1% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-19.0% a year✗
Return on invested capital6.1%✗

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About Greenfire Resources Ltd.

Greenfire Resources Ltd., operating through its various subsidiaries, is actively involved in the exploration, development, and management of oil and gas properties. These significant holdings are located specifically within Alberta's Athabasca oil sands region. The company is responsible for a portfolio of premier, "Tier-1" oil sands assets across Western Canada. For the extraction of bitumen, Greenfire employs…

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works