GGG

Graco Inc.

Industrials · $12.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$78.00

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$70.78

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$28.31

buy price

Overpriced

GGG is Overpriced: at $78.00 it trades 10% above its fair value of $70.78. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $28.31, 64% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 1% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth9.6% a year✗
Equity per share growth16.3% a year✓
Sales growth6.7% a year✗
Free cash flow growth8.3% a year✗
Return on invested capital19.1%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds GGG. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Sold out: Terry Smith

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $257K and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Graco Inc.

Graco Inc., a Minneapolis, Minnesota-based company established in 1926, specializes globally in the engineering, production, and distribution of sophisticated systems and apparatus. These solutions are designed for the precise handling, measurement, regulation, discharge, and application of diverse fluid and powder materials worldwide. Within its Industrial segment, Graco provides specialized proportioning systems…

Industrial - Machinery

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works