GPK

Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Consumer Cyclical · $2.7B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$8.78

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$12.48

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$4.99

buy price

Undervalued

GPK is Undervalued: at $8.78 it trades 30% below its fair value of $12.48. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $4.99, 43% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth12.3% a year✓
Equity per share growth11.3% a year✓
Sales growth6.1% a year✗
Free cash flow growth6.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital8.9%✗

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds GPK. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Sold out: Sarah Ketterer

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 5 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Graphic Packaging Holding Company

Graphic Packaging Holding Company, along with its subsidiaries, provides extensive fiber-based packaging solutions for clients across the food, beverage, foodservice, and broader consumer product industries. The company's operations are divided into three principal segments: Paperboard Mills, Americas Paperboard Packaging, and Europe Paperboard Packaging. It supplies key paperboard grades like coated unbleached…

Packaging & Containers

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works