GRBK

Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $2.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$66.66

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$39.44

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$15.77

buy price

Overpriced

GRBK is Overpriced: at $66.66 it trades 69% above its fair value of $39.44. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $15.77, 76% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 5% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth27.5% a year✓
Equity per share growth4.7% a year✗
Sales growth15.4% a year✓
Free cash flow growth17.9% a year✓
Return on invested capital16.5%✓

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold GRBK. In Q2 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Polen Capital Management

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Green Brick Partners, Inc.

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is an American enterprise primarily engaged in the construction of residential properties and the development of land. The company's operations are segmented into its Central and Southeast building divisions, alongside a dedicated land development unit. Its comprehensive activities span the entire homebuilding lifecycle, encompassing land acquisition, securing necessary entitlements…

Residential Construction

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works