HD
The Home Depot, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · $283.8B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$282.85
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$188.35
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$75.34
buy price
HD is Overpriced: at $282.85 it trades 50% above its fair value of $188.35. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $75.34, 73% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 2% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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10 of the investors we track hold HD. In Q2 2026, 2 opened a position, 2 added, 2 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track
Stephen Mandel
Lone Pine Capital · as of Q2 2026
$918.1M
2,603,189 shares
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust
Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust · as of Q2 2026
$352.7M
1,000,000 shares
Thomas Gayner
Markel Group · as of Q2 2026
$325.3M
922,500 shares
Viking Global Investors
Viking Global Investors · as of Q2 2026
$324.7M
920,595 shares
Mairs & Power Funds
Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026
$53.8M
152,452 shares
Show all 10 holdersShow fewer
David Katz
Matrix Asset Advisors · as of Q2 2026
$22.8M
64,544 shares
First Eagle Investment Management
First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026
$18.6M
52,776 shares
Dodge & Cox Funds
Dodge & Cox Funds · as of Q2 2026
$7.9M
22,382 shares
Torray Funds
Torray Funds · as of Q2 2026
$876K
2,485 shares
Jensen Investment Management
Jensen Investment Management · as of Q2 2026
$281K
797 shares
Moves in Q2 2026
New position: Stephen Mandel, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation Trust
Added: Viking Global Investors, David Katz
Trimmed: Torray Funds, Jensen Investment Management
Sold out: Terry Smith
Insider activity
Since Aug 19, 2026: no open-market purchases, 4 sales worth $3.3M and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Scardino Kimberly R
SVP-Finance, CAO & Controller · 2026-09-10
Sold
$207K
Roseborough Teresa Wynn
EVP, Gen. Counsel & Corp. Sec. · 2026-08-28
Sold
$807K
Rowe Michael F.
EVP, Pro · 2026-08-26
Sold
$239K
McPhail Richard V
EVP & CFO · 2026-08-19
Sold
$2.1M
Other filings
About The Home Depot, Inc.
The Home Depot, Inc. operates as a prominent retailer specializing in home renovation and improvement. Through its expansive network of "The Home Depot" stores, it furnishes consumers with an extensive array of goods, including building materials, home enhancement products, lawn and garden supplies, decorative items, and facilities maintenance, repair, and operational (MRO) supplies. In addition to selling products…
Home Improvement
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works