HLMN

Hillman Solutions Corp.

Industrials · $1.4B market cap

Share price

$7.04

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$4.19

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.68

buy price

Overpriced

HLMN is Overpriced: at $7.04 it trades 68% above its fair value of $4.19. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.68, 76% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 1% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth123.7% a year✓

Equity per share growth-2.3% a year✗

Sales growth6.1% a year✗

Free cash flow growth9.4% a year✗

Return on invested capital3.2%✗

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Insider activity

Since Aug 19, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $249K and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Kitzberger Amanda

Chief Leg. Offic. & Secretary · 2026-09-09

Sold

$100K

Parker Aaron Jerrod

Chief People Offic. · 2026-08-19

Sold

$149K

Other filings

Spann Nicky Andre

Chief Information Officer · 2026-09-07

Tax withholding

$13K

About Hillman Solutions Corp.

Hillman Solutions Corp., through its subsidiaries, delivers a broad spectrum of hardware products and associated merchandising solutions throughout North America. The company's extensive offerings include essential hardware components like anchor shackles, door hinges, garage door accessories, safety hasps, gate hooks and latches, and various storage and organizational items, alongside structural elements such as…

Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories