HTH

Hilltop Holdings Inc.

Financial Services · $2.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$38.45

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$35.10

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$14.04

buy price

Fairly Valued

HTH is Fairly Valued: at $38.45 it's within 10% of its fair value of $35.10. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $14.04, 63% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-0.7% a year✗
Equity per share growth6.9% a year✗
Sales growth3.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth9.0% a year✗
Return on invested capital-0.2%✗

Follow HTH

Get notified when it reaches its buy price of $14.04. Free.

Create a free account

Insider activity

Since May 22, 2026: no open-market purchases, 8 sales worth $2.5M and 26 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Hilltop Holdings Inc.

Hilltop Holdings Inc., a Dallas, Texas-based entity established in 1998, delivers a comprehensive suite of financial products and services, catering to both corporate and individual clients. Its operations are structured into three primary divisions: Banking, Broker-Dealer activities, and Mortgage Origination. The Banking division encompasses a range of deposit products, including checking (both standard and…

Financial - Conglomerates

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works