HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Industrials · $93.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$231.27

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$87.82

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$35.13

buy price

Overpriced

HWM is Overpriced: at $231.27 it trades 163% above its fair value of $87.82. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $35.13, 85% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 13% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth26.6% a year✓
Equity per share growth1.4% a year✗
Sales growth-5.5% a year✗
Free cash flow growth13.5% a year✓
Return on invested capital14.9%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds HWM. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Polen Capital Management

Insider activity

Since Jul 2, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Howmet Aerospace Inc., headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, and originally established in 1888 as Arconic Inc., is a global leader in providing sophisticated engineered solutions. The company caters to the aerospace and transportation sectors across a wide international footprint, including key markets such as the United States, Japan, France, Germany, the United Kingdom, Mexico, Italy, Canada, Poland, and…

Aerospace & Defense

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works