JCI

Johnson Controls International plc

Basic Materials · $90.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$156.24

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$48.84

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$19.54

buy price

Overpriced

JCI is Overpriced: at $156.24 it trades 220% above its fair value of $48.84. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $19.54, 87% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth1.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.1% a year✗
Sales growth1.7% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital7.7%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold JCI. In Q1 2026, 1 trimmed. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Trimmed: Viking Global Investors

Insider activity

Since Jul 14, 2026: no open-market purchases, 3 sales worth $4.1M and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Johnson Controls International plc

Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic…

Construction Materials

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works