KDP

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Consumer Defensive · $42.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$30.37

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$10.34

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$4.13

buy price

Overpriced

KDP is Overpriced: at $30.37 it trades 194% above its fair value of $10.34. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $4.13, 86% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Dividend Discount Model. It has paid a dividend for 10+ years in a row, raised it most years, and yields over 2%. For a steady payer like this, the dividend is the best guide to value.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth9.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.2% a year✗
Sales growth6.6% a year✗
Free cash flow growth9.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital5.4%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold KDP. In Q1 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Added: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Aug 25, 2026: 1 open-market purchase worth $250K and 3 sales worth $1.1M. Why purchases matter

Purchases

Sales

About Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.

Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a prominent beverage firm with operations spanning both the United States and global markets. The company structures its business across four primary divisions: Coffee Systems, Packaged Beverages, Beverage Concentrates, and Latin America Beverages. Its Coffee Systems division is responsible for the production and distribution of an array of finished products linked to its coffee brewing…

Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

KDP stock (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.): fair value $10.34, Overpriced — PaybackPrice