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LGIH

LGI Homes, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $1.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$48.14

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$148.25

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$59.30

buy price

On Sale

LGIH is On Sale: at $48.14 it trades 19% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $59.30 and 68% below its fair value of $148.25. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth23.1% a year✓
Equity per share growth24.6% a year✓
Sales growth21.9% a year✓
Free cash flow growth—?
Return on invested capital3.8%✗

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About LGI Homes, Inc.

LGI Homes, Inc. engages in the design, construction, and sale of new homes in the United States. It markets and sells attached and detached entry-level homes and active adult offerings under the LGI Homes brand; and luxury homes under the Terrata Homes brand. The company also engages in the wholesale business, which includes building and selling homes to large institutions interested in acquiring single-family…

Residential Construction

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works