LOCO
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · $429M market cap
Verdict
Share price
$14.22
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$9.42
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$3.77
buy price
LOCO is Overpriced: at $14.22 it trades 51% above its fair value of $9.42. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $3.77, 73% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow Growth. Free cash flow is growing faster than reported earnings, so we project free cash flow 10 years ahead instead.
Business quality
1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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2 of the investors we track hold LOCO. In Q2 2026, 2 added. Who we track
First Eagle Investment Management
First Eagle Investment Management · as of Q2 2026
$16.9M
995,799 shares
Polen Capital Management
Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$787K
46,419 shares
Moves in Q2 2026
Added: Polen Capital Management, First Eagle Investment Management
Insider activity
Since Jun 26, 2026: no open-market purchases, 16 sales worth $8.7M and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-08-07
Sold
$9K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-08-05
Sold
$676K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-08-03
Sold
$167K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-30
Sold
$5K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-29
Sold
$55K
Show all 16 salesShow fewer
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-29
Sold
$55K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-17
Sold
$184K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-16
Sold
$46K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-15
Sold
$109K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-14
Sold
$20K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-13
Sold
$1.3M
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-02
Sold
$161K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-07-01
Sold
$2.3M
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-30
Sold
$382K
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-29
Sold
$1.7M
BIGLARI, SARDAR
Owns 10%+ · 2026-06-26
Sold
$1.7M
Other filings
About El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc.
El Pollo Loco Holdings, Inc., primarily operating through its El Pollo Loco, Inc. subsidiary, is engaged in the development, franchising, licensing, and direct management of quick-service restaurants under the El Pollo Loco brand. By May 4, 2022, its network encompassed 480 establishments: 189 company-owned locations and 291 franchised outlets situated across California, Nevada, Arizona, Texas, Utah, and Louisiana…
Restaurants
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works