LYB

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

Basic Materials · $20.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$58.58

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$50.03

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$20.01

buy price

Overpriced

LYB is Overpriced: at $58.58 it trades 17% above its fair value of $50.03. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $20.01, 66% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-0.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth5.9% a year✗
Sales growth-0.4% a year✗
Free cash flow growth2.9% a year✗
Return on invested capital4.0%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold LYB. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Howard Marks

Sold out: Dodge & Cox Funds

About LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LyondellBasell Industries N.V., established in 2009 and based in Houston, Texas, operates as a prominent global chemical manufacturer with a significant international footprint, including the United States, Germany, Mexico, Italy, Poland, France, Japan, China, and the Netherlands. The company's diverse operations are organized into six distinct segments. Its core business involves the production and marketing of…

Chemicals - Specialty

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works