MCO
Moody's CorporationFinancial Services · $79.0B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$441.36
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$299.42
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$119.77
buy price
MCO is Overpriced: at $441.36 it trades 47% above its fair value of $299.42. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $119.77, 73% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 12% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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16 of the investors we track hold MCO. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 1 added, 3 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track
Warren Buffett
Berkshire Hathaway Inc · as of Q2 2026
$11.2B
24,669,778 shares
Chris Hohn
TCI Fund Management · as of Q2 2026
$6.5B
14,334,027 shares
John Armitage
Egerton Capital · as of Q2 2026
$771.9M
1,704,229 shares
Valley Forge Capital Management
Valley Forge Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$596.6M
1,317,188 shares
Chuck Akre
Akre Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$524.0M
1,156,893 shares
Show all 16 holdersShow fewer
AKO Capital
AKO Capital · as of Q2 2026
$193.8M
427,920 shares
AltaRock Partners
AltaRock Partners · as of Q2 2026
$137.1M
302,624 shares
Thomas Gayner
Markel Group · as of Q2 2026
$96.9M
213,890 shares
Bryan Lawrence
Oakcliff Capital · as of Q2 2026
$15.4M
34,000 shares
Guy Spier
Aquamarine Capital · as of Q2 2026
$12.2M
27,000 shares
William Von Mueffling
Cantillon Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$8.2M
18,075 shares
Yacktman Asset Management
Yacktman Asset Management · as of Q2 2026
$5.6M
12,405 shares
Bill Nygren
Oakmark Funds · as of Q2 2026
$863K
1,905 shares
Francis Chou
Chou Associates · as of Q2 2026
$679K
1,500 shares
Dodge & Cox Funds
Dodge & Cox Funds · as of Q2 2026
$549K
1,213 shares
Glenn Greenberg
Brave Warrior Advisors · as of Q2 2026
$213K
471 shares
Moves in Q2 2026
New position: Bryan Lawrence
Added: John Armitage
Trimmed: William Von Mueffling, AltaRock Partners, AKO Capital
Sold out: Li Lu
Insider activity
Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases, 4 sales worth $1.8M and 19 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-09-01
Sold
$586K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-08-03
Sold
$565K
Steele Richard G
SVP - General Counsel · 2026-07-01
Sold
$72K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-07-01
Sold
$532K
Other filings
Bermudez Jorge A.
director · 2026-09-04
Award
1.3 shares
Bermudez Jorge A.
director · 2026-09-04
Award
16 shares
Seidman Leslie
director · 2026-09-04
Award
2.118 shares
Seidman Leslie
director · 2026-09-04
Award
14 shares
Sawicki Lisa P
director · 2026-09-04
Award
1.106 shares
Show all 19 other filingsShow fewer
Esperdy Therese
director · 2026-09-04
Award
10.931 shares
Minaya Jose
director · 2026-09-04
Award
3.454 shares
Minaya Jose
director · 2026-09-04
Award
6.081 shares
FORLENZA VINCENT A
director · 2026-09-04
Award
1.379 shares
FORLENZA VINCENT A
director · 2026-09-04
Award
15.187 shares
VAN SAUN BRUCE
director · 2026-09-04
Award
13.384 shares
VAN SAUN BRUCE
director · 2026-09-04
Award
7 shares
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-09-01
Option exercise
$96K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-09-01
Option exercise
$67K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-08-03
Option exercise
$67K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-08-03
Option exercise
$96K
Minaya Jose
director · 2026-07-01
Award
87.563 shares
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-07-01
Option exercise
$67K
Fauber Robert
President and CEO · 2026-07-01
Option exercise
$96K
About Moody's Corporation
Moody's Corporation operates as a global leader in risk assessment, divided into two main segments: Moody's Investors Service and Moody's Analytics. Moody's Investors Service is dedicated to issuing credit ratings and providing detailed assessments for a diverse range of debt obligations and the entities that issue them. This encompasses corporate, financial institution, governmental, and structured finance…
Financial - Data & Stock Exchanges
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works