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MDU

MDU Resources Group, Inc.

Utilities · $3.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$18.61

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$8.45

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$3.38

buy price

Overpriced

MDU is Overpriced: at $18.61 it trades 120% above its fair value of $8.45. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $3.38, 82% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Dividend Discount Model. A regulated utility with a steady dividend record, so we value it on the dividends it pays.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth0.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth0.3% a year✗
Sales growth-1.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-5.3% a year✗
Return on invested capital3.5%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 30, 2026: no open-market purchases and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

Dosch Vernon A.

director · 2026-06-30

Award

1,293 shares

DURKIN MARIAN M

director · 2026-06-30

Award

152 shares

About MDU Resources Group, Inc.

MDU Resources Group, Inc. operates across two primary sectors within the United States: regulated energy provision and a diverse range of construction materials and services. Its Electric division is responsible for producing, moving, and supplying electricity to homes, businesses, industrial facilities, and municipalities across Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Wyoming. This segment manages an extensive…

Regulated Gas

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works