MOMO

Hello Group Inc.

Communication Services · $791M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$4.72

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.19

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.48

buy price

On Sale

MOMO is On Sale: at $4.72 it trades 44% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $8.48 and 78% below its fair value of $21.19. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-2.3% a year✗
Equity per share growth8.6% a year✗
Sales growth2.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-6.6% a year✗
Return on invested capital7.6%✗

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Superinvestors

None of the investors we track holds MOMO right now. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Sold out: Sarah Ketterer

Insider activity

Since Jul 6, 2026: no open-market purchases and 12 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Hello Group Inc.

Hello Group Inc. delivers a suite of mobile-centric social and entertainment offerings across the People's Republic of China. The company's flagship "Momo" platform comprises its primary mobile application along with numerous associated features, tools, and services. This app acts as a central hub where users can connect and engage, facilitated by shared interests and geographical proximity. It provides a variety of…

Internet Content & Information

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works