NXPI

NXP Semiconductors N.V.

Technology · $59.6B market cap

Share price

$243.66

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$110.96

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$44.39

buy price

Overpriced

NXPI is Overpriced: at $243.66 it trades 120% above its fair value of $110.96. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $44.39, 82% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -2% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth13.8% a year✓

Equity per share growth6.7% a year✗

Sales growth8.1% a year✗

Free cash flow growth10.1% a year✓

Return on invested capital12.8%✓

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold NXPI. In Q2 2026, 3 trimmed. Who we track

First Pacific Advisors

First Pacific Advisors · as of Q2 2026

$193.4M

688,107 shares

Harry Burn

Sound Shore · as of Q2 2026

$80.6M

286,699 shares

Christopher Bloomstran

Semper Augustus · as of Q2 2026

$2.2M

7,662 shares

Moves in Q2 2026

Trimmed: First Pacific Advisors, Harry Burn, Christopher Bloomstran

Insider activity

Since Jun 15, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $542K and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Micallef Andrew

EVP, Chief Operations Officer · 2026-09-15

Sold

$226K

Micallef Andrew

EVP, Chief Operations Officer · 2026-06-15

Sold

$316K

Other filings

Hoffmann Michael Thomas

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-07-29

Award

2,075 shares

About NXP Semiconductors N.V.

NXP Semiconductors N.V. specializes in the design and production of a broad array of semiconductor solutions. Its extensive portfolio encompasses various processing units, such as microcontrollers, application processors (including the popular i.MX series and its 8 and 9 families), and communication processors. NXP also provides advanced wireless connectivity solutions, featuring technologies like near-field…

Semiconductors

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works