ODFL

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Industrials · $36.8B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$180.48

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$65.08

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$26.03

buy price

Overpriced

ODFL is Overpriced: at $180.48 it trades 177% above its fair value of $65.08. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $26.03, 86% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -4% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth19.4% a year✓
Equity per share growth16.0% a year✓
Sales growth9.6% a year✗
Free cash flow growth27.6% a year✓
Return on invested capital22.7%✓

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold ODFL. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 2 sold out. Who we track

Insider activity

Since Aug 25, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 sale worth $4.0M. Why purchases matter

Sales

About Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc.

Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) serves as a prominent less-than-truckload (LTL) freight carrier operating across the United States and North America. The company's offerings include LTL shipping solutions at regional, inter-regional, and national levels, often featuring expedited delivery options. Furthermore, ODFL provides a variety of supplementary services, such as container drayage, truckload brokerage…

Trucking

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works