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PBR-A

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

Energy · $123.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$19.60

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$16.28

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$6.51

buy price

Overpriced

PBR-A is Overpriced: at $19.60 it trades 20% above its fair value of $16.28. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $6.51, 67% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings grow slowly (under 7% a year), but cash flow is steady, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth0.4% a year✗
Equity per share growth-3.0% a year✗
Sales growth-0.9% a year✗
Free cash flow growth12.1% a year✓
Return on invested capital12.8%✓

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold PBR-A. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 trimmed. Who we track

Sarah Ketterer

Causeway Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$45.3M

3,096,624 shares

Richard Pzena

Pzena Investment Management · as of Q2 2026

$778K

53,138 shares

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: Sarah Ketterer

Trimmed: Richard Pzena

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works