PEN

Penumbra, Inc.

Healthcare · $12.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$317.55

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$73.19

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$29.28

buy price

Overpriced

PEN is Overpriced: at $317.55 it trades 334% above its fair value of $73.19. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $29.28, 91% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth24.8% a year✓
Equity per share growth16.9% a year✓
Sales growth22.2% a year✓
Free cash flow growth38.8% a year✓
Return on invested capital6.4%✗

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Insider activity

Since Aug 17, 2026: no open-market purchases and 1 other filing (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Penumbra, Inc.

Penumbra, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally. It offers computer-assisted vacuum thrombectomy; peripheral thrombectomy products, including the Indigo System for power aspiration of thrombus in the body; Lightning Flash, a mechanical thrombectomy system; Lightning Bolt 7, an arterial thrombectomy system; and CAT…

Medical - Devices

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

PEN stock (Penumbra, Inc.): fair value $73.19, Overpriced — PaybackPrice