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SEED

Origin Agritech Limited

Basic Materials · $8M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$0.740

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$2.63

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.05

buy price

On Sale

SEED is On Sale: at $0.740 it trades 30% below its buy price (Payback Price) of $1.05 and 72% below its fair value of $2.63. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth1.3% a year✗
Equity per share growth-4.4% a year✗
Sales growth-11.0% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-22.7% a year✗
Return on invested capital54.6%✓

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About Origin Agritech Limited

Established in 1997 and headquartered in Beijing, China, Origin Agritech Limited is a Chinese firm operating in two primary areas: agricultural biotechnology and an e-commerce platform. Its biotechnology segment focuses on the genetic enhancement and breeding of crop seeds, encompassing the development, production, and distribution of hybrid crop varieties and associated seed technologies. The firm also manages an…

Agricultural Inputs

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works