SMID

Smith-Midland Corporation

Basic Materials · $125M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$22.19

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$40.25

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$16.10

buy price

Undervalued

SMID is Undervalued: at $22.19 it trades 45% below its fair value of $40.25. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $16.10, 27% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth13.2% a year✓
Equity per share growth11.2% a year✓
Sales growth5.4% a year✗
Free cash flow growth5.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital10.9%✓

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Insider activity

Since Sep 1, 2026: 2 open-market purchases worth $108K and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Other filings

About Smith-Midland Corporation

Smith-Midland Corporation, operating through its subsidiaries, specializes in the comprehensive provision of precast concrete solutions. This involves the invention, development, manufacturing, marketing, leasing, licensing, selling, and installation of these products, primarily serving the construction, highway, utilities, and agricultural industries. Among its key offerings is SlenderWall, a patented, lightweight…

Construction Materials

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

SMID stock (Smith-Midland Corporation): fair value $40.25, Undervalued — PaybackPrice