STRL

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Industrials · $15.4B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$533.42

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$172.42

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$68.97

buy price

Overpriced

STRL is Overpriced: at $533.42 it trades 209% above its fair value of $172.42. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $68.97, 87% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth45.1% a year✓
Equity per share growth2.9% a year✗
Sales growth12.0% a year✓
Free cash flow growth23.0% a year✓
Return on invested capital15.8%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds STRL. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Stephen Mandel

Sold out: Polen Capital Management

Insider activity

Since Jun 18, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $2.2M and 3 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. operates across three distinct business segments: transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions. The company's operations span a significant portion of the United States, including the Southern, Northeastern, and Mid-Atlantic regions, as well as the Rocky Mountain states, California, and Hawaii. Within its transportation division, Sterling specializes in developing and…

Engineering & Construction

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

STRL stock (Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.): fair value $172.42, Overpriced — PaybackPrice