TKR

The Timken Company

Industrials · $8.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$122.44

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$86.25

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$34.50

buy price

Overpriced

TKR is Overpriced: at $122.44 it trades 42% above its fair value of $86.25. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $34.50, 72% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings grow slowly (under 7% a year), but cash flow is steady, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth2.6% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.9% a year✗
Sales growth0.2% a year✗
Free cash flow growth4.2% a year✗
Return on invested capital8.2%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold TKR. In Q2 2026, 1 added and 1 sold out. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

Added: First Eagle Investment Management

Sold out: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Aug 10, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $1.7M and 7 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About The Timken Company

The Timken Company operates globally, specializing in the design, manufacturing, and management of advanced bearings and power transmission solutions. Its business activities are organized into two main divisions: Mobile Industries and Process Industries. The Mobile Industries division delivers a wide array of products, encompassing various bearings, seals, and lubrication systems, in addition to power transmission…

Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works