TREX

Trex Company, Inc.

Basic Materials · $4.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$43.56

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$17.21

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$6.88

buy price

Overpriced

TREX is Overpriced: at $43.56 it trades 153% above its fair value of $17.21. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $6.88, 84% below today's price. Business quality is strong: all 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 2% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

5 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth18.8% a year✓
Equity per share growth15.2% a year✓
Sales growth10.1% a year✓
Free cash flow growth11.2% a year✓
Return on invested capital18.9%✓

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Superinvestors

1 of the investors we track holds TREX. In Q1 2026, 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q1 2026

Added: Mairs & Power Funds

Insider activity

Since Jun 25, 2026: no open-market purchases, 2 sales worth $123K and 12 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Trex Company, Inc.

Trex Company, Inc. is a leading U.S. manufacturer and distributor specializing in outdoor living products for both residential and commercial applications. The company's operations are segmented into Trex Residential and Trex Commercial. For its residential clientele, Trex offers a diverse selection of composite decking under names like Trex Transcend, Trex Select, and Trex Enhance, designed for superior resistance…

Construction Materials

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works