TSLA
Tesla, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · $1.40T market cap
Verdict
Share price
$370.59
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$107.86
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$43.14
buy price
TSLA is Overpriced: at $370.59 it trades 244% above its fair value of $107.86. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $43.14, 88% below today's price. Business quality is strong: 4 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Earnings Power. Our 10-year earnings projection came out at less than a fifth of the share price, too far from reality to publish. So we use a simpler measure: today's normal earnings at the price-to-earnings ratio it has typically traded at.
Business quality
4 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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6 of the investors we track hold TSLA. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 1 added, 2 trimmed and 2 sold out. Who we track
Duan Yongping
H&H International Investment · as of Q2 2026
$1.4B
3,380,400 shares
Viking Global Investors
Viking Global Investors · as of Q2 2026
$230.4M
547,816 shares
Josh Tarasoff
Greenlea Lane Capital · as of Q2 2026
$19.9M
47,390 shares
Polen Capital Management
Polen Capital Management · as of Q2 2026
$3.8M
8,974 shares
Torray Funds
Torray Funds · as of Q2 2026
$526K
1,250 shares
Show all 6 holdersShow fewer
David Katz
Matrix Asset Advisors · as of Q2 2026
$208K
494 shares
Moves in Q2 2026
New position: David Katz
Added: Polen Capital Management
Trimmed: Viking Global Investors, Josh Tarasoff
Sold out: First Pacific Advisors, Samantha McLemore
Insider activity
Since Jun 16, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $938K and 3 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Other filings
About Tesla, Inc.
Tesla, Inc. operates globally, specializing in the creation, production, and distribution of electric vehicles, alongside comprehensive energy generation and storage solutions. Its market reach extends across the United States, China, and various other international regions. The company's operations are primarily divided into two main segments: its Automotive business and its Energy Generation and Storage division…
Auto - Manufacturers
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works