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UPS

United Parcel Service, Inc.

Industrials · $80.1B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$93.02

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$224.65

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$89.86

buy price

Undervalued

UPS is Undervalued: at $93.02 it trades 59% below its fair value of $224.65. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $89.86, 3% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Dividend Discount Model. It has paid a dividend for 10+ years in a row, raised it most years, and yields over 2%. For a steady payer like this, the dividend is the best guide to value.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth5.1% a year✗
Equity per share growth2.9% a year✗
Sales growth4.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.7%✓

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Superinvestors

6 of the investors we track hold UPS. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position, 1 added, 1 trimmed and 1 sold out. Who we track

Harry Burn

Sound Shore · as of Q2 2026

$86.2M

801,772 shares

Bill Miller

Miller Value Partners · as of Q2 2026

$12.5M

116,003 shares

Bruce Berkowitz

Fairholme Capital · as of Q2 2026

$2.6M

23,800 shares

Hillman Capital Management

Hillman Capital Management · as of Q2 2026

$2.4M

22,316 shares

Tweedy Browne

Tweedy Browne · as of Q2 2026

$1.8M

16,630 shares

Show all 6 holders

Mairs & Power Funds

Mairs & Power Funds · as of Q2 2026

$1.2M

11,508 shares

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Bruce Berkowitz

Added: Harry Burn

Trimmed: Mairs & Power Funds

Sold out: Lee Ainslie

Insider activity

Since Sep 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 3 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

Cesarone Nando

Chief Global Operations Off · 2026-09-01

Award

58,446 shares

Subramanian Bala

Chief Digital & Tech Officer · 2026-09-01

Award

29,223 shares

Ramos Wilfredo

Chief Intl, Healthcare and SCS · 2026-09-01

Award

5,413 shares

About United Parcel Service, Inc.

United Parcel Service, Inc., a package delivery and logistics provider, offers transportation and delivery services. It operates through two segments, U.S. Domestic Package and International Package. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers time-definite delivery services for express letters, documents, packages and palletized freight through air and ground services. The International Package segment provides small…

Integrated Freight & Logistics

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works