USFD

US Foods Holding Corp.

Consumer Defensive · $20.6B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$96.92

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$57.13

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$22.85

buy price

Overpriced

USFD is Overpriced: at $96.92 it trades 70% above its fair value of $57.13. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $22.85, 76% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow Growth. Free cash flow is growing faster than reported earnings, so we project free cash flow 10 years ahead instead.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth4.3% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.4% a year✗
Sales growth4.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth10.7% a year✓
Return on invested capital8.1%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold USFD. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position and 1 added. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Viking Global Investors

Added: Stephen Mandel

Insider activity

Since Aug 7, 2026: no open-market purchases, 3 sales worth $3.6M and 4 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About US Foods Holding Corp.

US Foods Holding Corp., operating primarily via its subsidiary, US Foods, Inc., is a key marketer and distributor within the United States foodservice market, offering an extensive selection of fresh, frozen, and dry food products alongside various non-food supplies. Its clientele is highly diversified, encompassing independent single and multi-location dining establishments, regional culinary ventures, national…

Food Distribution

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works