VEL

Velocity Financial, Inc.

Financial Services · $597M market cap

Verdict

Share price

$14.59

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$21.54

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.61

buy price

Undervalued

VEL is Undervalued: at $14.59 it trades 32% below its fair value of $21.54. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.61, 41% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth50.7% a year✓
Equity per share growth14.6% a year✓
Sales growth25.8% a year✓
Free cash flow growth2.1% a year✗
Return on invested capital2.6%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 26, 2026: no open-market purchases, 12 sales worth $351K and 2 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Sales

Other filings

About Velocity Financial, Inc.

Operating across the United States, Velocity Financial, Inc. functions as a specialized real estate finance firm. Its core business involves generating and overseeing investment loans, which are typically secured by 1-4 unit residential rental properties and smaller commercial real estate assets. The company delivers its financial offerings to clients via an extensive network of independent mortgage brokers…

Financial - Mortgages

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works