WMG

Warner Music Group Corp.

Communication Services · $14.4B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$26.82

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$20.31

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$8.12

buy price

Overpriced

WMG is Overpriced: at $26.82 it trades 32% above its fair value of $20.31. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $8.12, 70% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow Growth. Reported earnings are shrinking, but free cash flow keeps growing, so we value it on cash flow.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth-2.4% a year✗
Equity per share growth65.1% a year✓
Sales growth4.6% a year✗
Free cash flow growth5.4% a year✗
Return on invested capital11.0%✓

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold WMG. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Lindsell Train

Insider activity

Since Sep 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 6 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About Warner Music Group Corp.

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG), established in 1929 and based in New York City, functions as a prominent global entertainment enterprise primarily focused on music. Its operations span the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and numerous other international markets. The company's activities are organized into two distinct divisions: Recorded Music and Music Publishing. The Recorded Music division is…

Entertainment

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works

WMG stock (Warner Music Group Corp.): fair value $20.31, Overpriced — PaybackPrice