WSO

Watsco, Inc.

Industrials · $12.9B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$297.47

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$181.80

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$72.72

buy price

Overpriced

WSO is Overpriced: at $297.47 it trades 64% above its fair value of $181.80. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $72.72, 76% below today's price. Business quality is solid: 3 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -0% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

3 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth13.9% a year✓
Equity per share growth7.2% a year✗
Sales growth7.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth12.4% a year✓
Return on invested capital17.2%✓

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold WSO. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Francois Rochon

About Watsco, Inc.

Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and…

Industrial - Distribution

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works