XPEL

XPEL, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $1.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$44.97

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$50.32

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$20.13

buy price

Undervalued

XPEL is Undervalued: at $44.97 it trades 11% below its fair value of $50.32. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $20.13, 55% below today's price. Business quality is strong: all 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 14% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

5 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth22.9% a year✓
Equity per share growth39.3% a year✓
Sales growth29.9% a year✓
Free cash flow growth38.2% a year✓
Return on invested capital19.6%✓

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Insider activity

Since Jun 16, 2026: no open-market purchases and 15 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

About XPEL, Inc.

XPEL, Inc. is a company that develops, manufactures, distributes, and installs a comprehensive range of aftermarket products primarily aimed at protecting and enhancing automotive vehicles, with select offerings for architectural applications. Their core product portfolio features advanced protective films for vehicle paint and surfaces, headlight protection solutions, and a variety of window films for both cars and…

Auto - Parts

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works