ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Consumer Defensive · $38.3B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$80.45

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$96.64

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$38.66

buy price

Undervalued

ADM is Undervalued: at $80.45 it trades 17% below its fair value of $96.64. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $38.66, 52% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Owner Earnings. Earnings grow slowly (under 7% a year), but cash flow is steady, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth0.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth4.6% a year✗
Sales growth1.0% a year✗
Free cash flow growth3.9% a year✗
Return on invested capital5.7%✗

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Superinvestors

2 of the investors we track hold ADM. Who we track

Insider activity

Since Jul 1, 2026: no open-market purchases and 27 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Other filings

Burke Michael S

director · 2026-09-09

Award

121.2 shares

COLBERT THEODORE III

director · 2026-09-09

Award

111.06 shares

Collins James C. Jr.

director · 2026-09-09

Award

79.15 shares

CREWS TERRELL K

director · 2026-09-09

Award

412.27 shares

de Brabander Ellen

director · 2026-09-09

Award

66.68 shares

Show all 27 other filings

McMurray Michael C.

director · 2026-09-09

Award

5.43 shares

Harrison Suzan F.

director · 2026-09-09

Award

120.37 shares

MOORE PATRICK J

director · 2026-09-09

Award

615.93 shares

McAtee David R II

director · 2026-09-09

Award

36.49 shares

Sandler Debra A.

director · 2026-09-09

Award

183.75 shares

Schlitz Lei Zhang

director · 2026-09-09

Award

109.51 shares

WESTBROOK KELVIN R

director · 2026-09-09

Award

214.52 shares

Jones Regina

Senior Vice President · 2026-09-08

Tax withholding

$144K

Rowe Jeffrey D

Executive Vice President & COO · 2026-08-17

Award

259,935 shares

Patolawala Monish D

Executive Vice President & CFO · 2026-08-03

Tax withholding

$533K

Burke Michael S

director · 2026-07-01

Award

829.296 shares

COLBERT THEODORE III

director · 2026-07-01

Award

715.519 shares

CREWS TERRELL K

director · 2026-07-01

Award

878.057 shares

de Brabander Ellen

director · 2026-07-01

Award

715.519 shares

Harrison Suzan F.

director · 2026-07-01

Award

796.788 shares

McAtee David R II

director · 2026-07-01

Award

715.519 shares

McMurray Michael C.

director · 2026-07-01

Award

715.519 shares

Schlitz Lei Zhang

director · 2026-07-01

Award

715.519 shares

Collins James C. Jr.

director · 2026-07-01

Award

765.531 shares

MOORE PATRICK J

director · 2026-07-01

Award

746.777 shares

Sandler Debra A.

director · 2026-07-01

Award

765.531 shares

WESTBROOK KELVIN R

director · 2026-07-01

Award

746.777 shares

About Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) stands as a major global enterprise in the agricultural sector, focused on the sourcing, transportation, storage, processing, and distribution of a wide array of agricultural commodities, finished goods, and essential ingredients. Its expansive operations span numerous countries, including pivotal markets such as the United States, Switzerland, the Cayman Islands, Brazil, Mexico…

Agricultural Farm Products

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works