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AGRO

Adecoagro S.A.

Consumer Defensive · $5.7B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$10.10

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$4.07

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.63

buy price

Overpriced

AGRO is Overpriced: at $10.10 it trades 148% above its fair value of $4.07. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.63, 84% below today's price. Business quality is mixed: 2 of 5 key numbers clear the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

2 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth30.1% a year✓
Equity per share growth8.6% a year✗
Sales growth8.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth27.1% a year✓
Return on invested capital4.6%✗

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About Adecoagro S.A.

Adecoagro S.A., engages in agricultural and agro-industrial activities in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Uruguay. The company operates through two segments, Farming; and Sugar, Ethanol, and Energy. The company is involved in the production of a range of agricultural commodities, including soybean, corn, wheat, peanut, sunflower, cotton, and others; planting, harvesting, processing, and marketing of white, brown, and…

Agricultural Farm Products

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works