ADT
ADT Inc.Industrials · $4.9B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$6.25
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$5.55
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$2.22
buy price
ADT is Overpriced: at $6.25 it trades 13% above its fair value of $5.55. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $2.22, 64% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Free Cash Flow. Sales grew -0% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.
Business quality
1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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1 of the investors we track holds ADT. In Q1 2026, 1 sold out. Who we track
Moves in Q1 2026
Sold out: Polen Capital Management
Insider activity
Since Jul 7, 2026: no open-market purchases and 11 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Other filings
Zarmi Sigal
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Yoon Suzanne
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Winter Matthew E
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Tiedt Danielle
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Smith Paul Joseph
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Show all 11 other filingsShow fewer
Griffin Tracey R.
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Houston Daniel Joseph
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Gartland Thomas M
director · 2026-07-07
Award
209.767 shares
Miller Kimberly
EVP, CMO & Comm. Officer · 2026-07-07
Award
416.753 shares
Dernberger Todd
EVP and Chief Growth Officer · 2026-07-07
Award
100.193 shares
Ahmad Fawad
EVP, Chief Oper and Cust. Off. · 2026-07-07
Award
1,702.704 shares
About ADT Inc.
Headquartered in Boca Raton, Florida, ADT Inc. has been a leading provider of security, automation, and smart home solutions for consumers and businesses throughout the United States since its founding in 1874. The company delivers a broad spectrum of services, including fire detection and suppression, video surveillance, and access control systems, tailored for residential, commercial, and multi-site clients. At…
Security & Protection Services
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works