AGNC

AGNC Investment Corp.

Real Estate · $11.0B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$8.79

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$3.49

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$1.40

buy price

Overpriced

AGNC is Overpriced: at $8.79 it trades 152% above its fair value of $3.49. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $1.40, 84% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Justified P/B (Financials). A bank or insurer. These are best valued on their book value and how much they earn on it.

Business quality

1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth1.8% a year✗
Equity per share growth-7.1% a year✗
Sales growth10.2% a year✓
Free cash flow growth-5.0% a year✗
Return on invested capital1.3%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jul 28, 2026: no open-market purchases and 3 sales worth $221K. Why purchases matter

Sales

About AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNC Investment Corp. functions as a U.S.-based real estate investment trust (REIT). The firm primarily concentrates its investments on residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) and collateralized mortgage obligations (CMOs). A defining feature of these securities is that their principal and interest payments are secured by guarantees from either U.S. government-sponsored entities or federal government agencies…

REIT - Mortgage

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works