ARCO

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $1.5B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$7.11

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$9.74

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$3.89

buy price

Undervalued

ARCO is Undervalued: at $7.11 it trades 27% below its fair value of $9.74. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $3.89, 45% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Buffett Normalized. A profitable, growing business, so we project its earnings 10 years ahead and work out what that is worth today.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth8.5% a year✗
Equity per share growth-0.9% a year✗
Sales growth2.8% a year✗
Free cash flow growth-0.7% a year✗
Return on invested capital8.0%✗

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Superinvestors

3 of the investors we track hold ARCO. In Q2 2026, 1 opened a position. Who we track

Moves in Q2 2026

New position: Sarah Ketterer

Insider activity

Since Aug 24, 2026: no open-market purchases and 3 sales worth $262K. Why purchases matter

Sales

About Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc.

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc. serves as the premier franchisee for McDonald's, holding exclusive rights to operate, own, and sub-franchise the fast-food chain's eateries. Its extensive domain covers 20 countries and territories throughout Latin America and the Caribbean, specifically encompassing nations like Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Uruguay, Panama, Ecuador, Costa Rica, and Venezuela…

Restaurants

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works