BJRI

BJ's Restaurants, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical · $1.2B market cap

Verdict

Share price

$61.93

close of Oct 3, 2026

Fair value

$34.35

Sticker Price

Payback Price

$13.74

buy price

Overpriced

BJRI is Overpriced: at $61.93 it trades 80% above its fair value of $34.35. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $13.74, 78% below today's price. Business quality is limited: none of the 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.

How we valued it

Free Cash Flow. Sales grew 3% a year over the last 3 years, below the 15% we look for in a fast grower, so we value it on its free cash flow instead of an earnings forecast.

Business quality

0 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?

Earnings per share growth7.6% a year✗
Equity per share growth3.5% a year✗
Sales growth8.3% a year✗
Free cash flow growth7.5% a year✗
Return on invested capital3.5%✗

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Insider activity

Since Jun 6, 2026: 3 open-market purchases worth $108K, 12 sales worth $7.0M and 39 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter

Purchases

Sales

Other filings

Richmond C Bradford

director · 2026-08-07

G-Gift

16,047 shares

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-08-06

Option exercise

$254K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-08-06

Option exercise

$214K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-08-06

Option exercise

$31K

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-08-03

Option exercise

$254K

Show all 39 other filings

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-08-03

Option exercise

$279K

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-08-03

Option exercise

$214K

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-08-03

Option exercise

$139K

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-08-03

Option exercise

$142K

Tick Lyle

CEO & President · 2026-07-28

Tax withholding

$228K

Tick Lyle

CEO & President · 2026-07-28

Award

7,558 shares

Amin Birju Prakash

EVP & Chief Technology Officer · 2026-07-15

Award

$380K

Amin Birju Prakash

EVP & Chief Technology Officer · 2026-07-15

Award

3,010 shares

Van Ashley Allison

Sr. Vice President Accounting · 2026-07-15

Award

$325K

Van Ashley Allison

Sr. Vice President Accounting · 2026-07-15

Award

2,580 shares

Saxena Monika

EVP & Brand President · 2026-07-15

Award

$542K

Saxena Monika

EVP & Brand President · 2026-07-15

Award

4,300 shares

Kowalski Thomas Michael

Chief Supply Chain Officer · 2026-07-15

Tax withholding

$28K

Jaffe Jennifer Anne

EVP & Chief People Officer · 2026-07-15

Tax withholding

$55K

Sherlock Janet

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

Robinson Julius

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

DAL POZZO JAMES

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

Richmond C Bradford

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

Ottinger Lea Anne

director · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$149K

Ottinger Lea Anne

director · 2026-06-18

Award

4,433 shares

Elbogen Noah A.

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

Elbogen Noah A.

director · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$175K

Chaurasia Bina

director · 2026-06-18

Award

2,955 shares

Lynds Gregory S

EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$234K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$279K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$139K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$142K

Miller Kendra D

EVP & General Counsel · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$103K

Krakower Brian S

EVP & Chief Info. Officer · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$119K

Krakower Brian S

EVP & Chief Info. Officer · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$128K

Krakower Brian S

EVP & Chief Info. Officer · 2026-06-18

Option exercise

$31K

Rogers Heidi

SVP & Chief Marketing Officer · 2026-06-12

Option exercise

$50K

Rogers Heidi

SVP & Chief Marketing Officer · 2026-06-12

Option exercise

$64K

Tick Lyle

CEO & President · 2026-06-06

Tax withholding

$23K

About BJ's Restaurants, Inc.

BJ's Restaurants, Inc. manages a network of casual dining establishments situated throughout the United States. Patrons can enjoy a diverse menu at these eateries, encompassing pizzas, a variety of beers (including craft selections), appetizers, main courses, pasta dishes, sandwiches, signature salads, and decadent desserts. As of April 19, 2022, the corporation had a footprint of 213 restaurants, operating across…

Restaurants

Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works