BHP
BHP Group LimitedBasic Materials · $215.6B market cap
Verdict
Share price
$86.07
close of Oct 3, 2026
Fair value
$93.87
Sticker Price
Payback Price
$37.55
buy price
BHP is Fairly Valued: at $86.07 it's within 8% of its fair value of $93.87. Its buy price (Payback Price) is $37.55, 56% below today's price. Business quality is limited: only 1 of 5 key numbers clears the 10% bar.
How we valued it
Owner Earnings. Earnings have been shrinking, but the business still generates cash, so we value it on its cash flow instead of its earnings.
Business quality
1 of 5 clear the 10% bar. What are the Big Five?
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Since Jul 2, 2026: no open-market purchases, 1 sale worth $315K and 6 other filings (stock awards, tax withholding and similar). Why purchases matter
Sales
Other filings
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-10-01
Award
32 shares
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-10-01
Award
$1K
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-09-30
Award
13,520 shares
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-08-21
C-Conversion
7,774 shares
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-07-02
Award
$1K
Show all 6 other filingsShow fewer
Stone Emma Kate
Group Financial Controller · 2026-07-02
Award
32 shares
About BHP Group Limited
BHP Group Limited is a prominent global natural resources enterprise with operations spanning multiple continents, including Australia, Europe, Asia (encompassing China, Japan, India, South Korea, and other regions), North America, and South America. The company's primary activities are organized into distinct divisions: Copper, Iron Ore, and Coal. Its extensive mining portfolio includes the extraction of a wide…
Industrial Materials
Fair value and Payback Price are estimates from the company's reported financials, not investment advice. Prices as of the close of Oct 3, 2026. How the Payback Price works